Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.121925 0.134551 0.147484 0.161693 0.176837 0.192469 0.209795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.099432 0.118152 0.138289 0.161432 0.187170 0.214794 0.246559
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.081006 0.103139 0.128034 0.157805 0.192134 0.230183 0.275243
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072072 0.097312 0.126778 0.163164 0.206328 0.255360 0.314721
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.064353 0.091758 0.124860 0.166916 0.218050 0.277363 0.350500
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057482 0.086337 0.122323 0.169250 0.227579 0.296494 0.382837
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.051093 0.080768 0.118941 0.169963 0.234692 0.312464 0.411309
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.050011 0.082047 0.124180 0.181479 0.255205 0.344807 0.459793
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045728 0.078460 0.122662 0.184006 0.264235 0.363024 0.491192
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042398 0.075873 0.122198 0.187686 0.274599 0.382862 0.524675
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038200 0.071603 0.119078 0.187525 0.279774 0.396076 0.549933
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036997 0.071715 0.122006 0.195526 0.295676 0.422992 0.592558
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035703 0.071770 0.125094 0.204199 0.313169 0.452893 0.640287
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032246 0.068083 0.122529 0.204865 0.319941 0.469131 0.671001
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027974 0.062617 0.116953 0.200952 0.320289 0.476919 0.690947
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026623 0.061982 0.118623 0.207449 0.334977 0.503675 0.735624
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024938 0.060580 0.118977 0.211948 0.346898 0.526862 0.775882
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023041 0.058591 0.118247 0.214732 0.356372 0.546832 0.812087
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020941 0.055985 0.116333 0.215584 0.363024 0.563003 0.843388
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021398 0.058369 0.122692 0.229176 0.388095 0.604363 0.908372
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019895 0.056710 0.122201 0.232153 0.397868 0.624983 0.945981
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.018744 0.055639 0.122614 0.236486 0.409615 0.648377 0.987456
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.016962 0.053042 0.120237 0.236297 0.414666 0.662546 1.016636